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不規則なタイミングで申し訳ありませんが、今日は本業多忙につき、相場定点観測資料の掲載とさせて頂きます。
株は一人7%近く下がったリトアニア。ラリーの反動か?
Estonia, Lithuania Stocks to Rally Over 20%: Technical Analysis(Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601085&sid=aB3gLcI4_R20
Estonian and Lithuania stocks were among the world’s 20 worst performers in 2008 as the global financial crisis drove up borrowing costs, leading Latvia and Ukraine to ask for international bailouts. The economic crisis triggered investor concern Latvia would be forced to abandon its currency peg to the euro, with a domino effect causing devaluations in Estonia and Lithuania. Lithuania’s economic sentiment rose in August, while Estonian consumer confidence improved in September to the highest level in 13 months.
Calculating from its record high reached on Oct. 8, 2007, the Vilnius index is being “challenged” at the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement, while from its record reached on Feb. 6, 2007, the Tallinn index meets resistance at its 23.6 percent Fionacci level, Ross said.
Institutional Investors
This resistance is a “healthy consolidation” for the rapid gains from past few weeks, after which a “realistic target” for the Estonian shares is 566.4, and for Lithuanian shares is 371.4, the next retracement lines, in three to six months, according to Ross. That would be an increase of 31 percent for the Tallinn gauge and 21 percent advance for the Vilnius measure from their closing levels on Sept. 11.
The volumes in the markets in August and September were as much as 20 times above the historical levels, indicating the involvement of institutional investors, Ross said. “The institutions always seek to step in at any pullbacks, just like the case in Shanghai Composite,” he said.
債券は安定
LIBORも低位安定
原油は70ドル程度で安定。金は1000ドルいっちゃいましたね。ドル安の裏返し。
為替は円高ではなくてドル安。ドルキャリーの存在が金と上海に恩恵。リスク許容度は上がっているようだ。
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